TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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XRP Up or Down - February 25, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - February 25, 5PM ET

Volume:
$25,289

$1.46 to 1.4799

 - Kalshi

$1.46 to 1.4799 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 25, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$1.46 to 1.4799

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - February 25, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$1.48 to 1.4999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.3 to 1.3199

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.22 to 1.2399

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.18 to 1.1999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.28 to 1.2999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.44 to 1.4599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.24 to 1.2599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.26 to 1.2799

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.58 to 1.5999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$0.94 to 0.9599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.67991 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.56 to 1.5799

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.36 to 1.3799

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.1 to 1.1199

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.12 to 1.1399

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.52 to 1.5399

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.54 to 1.5599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.08 to 1.0999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.5 to 1.5199

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.34 to 1.3599

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.2 to 1.2199

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.16 to 1.1799

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$1.4 to 1.4199

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

These markets assess XRP price movement on February 25, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses a simple 1-hour candle comparison (open vs. close) on Binance XRP/USDT, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) with 60-second averaging across 38 discrete price bands.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use different price sources (Binance XRP/USDT vs. CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI), different measurement windows (1-hour candle vs. 60-second average), and incompatible resolution structures (binary Up/Down vs. 38 discrete price bands). Kalshi's resolution logic also lacks an explicit No condition, creating ambiguity.Hero tip: Do not treat these as equivalent or hedgeable positions. Polymarket is a true binary (Up or Down). Kalshi appears to resolve Yes across nearly all realistic price outcomes (0.92 to 1.68+), suggesting a potential structural flaw in the market design or missing No resolution criteria. Confirm Kalshi's complete resolution rules and No conditions with the platform before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on Binance XRP/USDT 1-hour candle. Resolves Up if close price >= open price; otherwise Down. Source: Binance XRP/USDT pair, 1H candle finalized data.
  • Kalshi: 38 discrete Yes-resolution price bands based on CF Benchmarks XRPUSD_RTI 60-second average before 5 PM EST. Covers 0.92000 to 1.6799+ USD in 0.02 USD increments. No explicit No resolution condition provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.