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394,660

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30,119

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XRP Up or Down - April 17, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

XRP Up or Down - April 17, 5PM ET

Volume:
$19,343

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

 - Kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT? - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 17, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,444
N/A
N/A
$1,472
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,124
N/A
N/A
$877
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,351
N/A
N/A
$321
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,192
N/A
N/A
$544
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$953
N/A
N/A
$522
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
$596
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$785
N/A
N/A
$427
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$743
N/A
N/A
$517
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$649
N/A
N/A
$319
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$242
N/A
N/A
$182
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
$57
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
polymarket

XRP Up or Down - April 17, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,482
N/A
N/A
$1,420
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,055
N/A
N/A
$1,049
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$831
N/A
N/A
$804
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
$700
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
$573
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Ripple price at Apr 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This event group tracks whether XRP/USD will move upward or remain flat/decline on April 17, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Kalshi offers 50 granular price-level markets (each resolving Yes if XRPUSD_RTI 60-second average exceeds specific thresholds from $0.7999 to $1.7799), while Polymarket offers a single binary comparing the 1-hour candle open vs. close on Binance XRP/USDT. The core question is identical—directional movement—but the measurement methodologies and precision differ significantly.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible data sources and resolution methodologies. Kalshi references CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) with 50 distinct price thresholds, while Polymarket uses Binance XRP/USDT 1-hour candle open/close comparison. These markets cannot resolve to the same outcome.Hero tip: Do not arbitrage these markets. Kalshi's outcome depends on a specific benchmark index price level at a precise moment; Polymarket's outcome depends on whether Binance's hourly candle closes above its open. A price move that triggers YES on one platform may trigger NO on the other. Treat them as independent events.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market resolves YES if the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on April 17, 2026 exceeds any of 50 specified thresholds (ranging from 0.7999 to 1.7799). All 50 conditions are identical in structure: 'If the simple average...is above [threshold]...then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit NO condition is stated; implicit NO occurs if price is at or below the lowest threshold (0.7999). This creates a logical contradiction: all 50 conditions are mutually inclusive (any price above 0.7999 satisfies multiple thresholds simultaneously), yet the market structure implies a single binary outcome.
  • Polymarket: Market resolves UP if the close price of the XRP/USDT 1-hour candle beginning at 5 PM ET on April 17 is greater than or equal to the open price of that same candle. Otherwise resolves DOWN. Source is Binance XRP/USDT pair only. This is a simple binary comparison: close >= open = UP; close < open = DOWN.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.