This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Xavier Musketeers and Marquette Golden Eagles scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score of the game, with specific handling for postponements and cancellations.
Kalshi market logic is internally contradictory: both possible game outcomes (Xavier win and Marquette win) are specified to resolve to Yes, leaving no path for a No resolution. This violates basic binary market structure and suggests a critical data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until this contradiction is resolved with Kalshi support. The market cannot function as specified. Polymarket's categorical structure is logically sound and should be your primary reference for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Binary structure with logical contradiction. Both Xavier win and Marquette win specified to resolve Yes. No No resolution path defined. Quote: 'If Xavier wins...resolves to Yes. If Marquette wins...resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Categorical resolution with three defined outcomes: Xavier Musketeers, Marquette Golden Eagles, or 50-50 split if game is canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the Xavier Musketeers win, the market will resolve to Xavier Musketeers. If the Marquette Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to Marquette Golden Eagles.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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