TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers
Volume:
$2,141,280
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Wright State Raiders and Virginia Cavaliers on March 20 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different event scopes. Kalshi settles exclusively on the first-half result of regulation time, while Polymarket settles on the full game final score including overtime. This creates mutually exclusive resolution paths for the same matchup.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group. A Kalshi YES (first-half winner or tie) does not guarantee a Polymarket YES (full-game winner). Conversely, a Polymarket moneyline outcome tells you nothing about Kalshi's first-half resolution. Treat these as separate events entirely.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves exclusively on the first half of regulation time. The market resolves YES if Wright State wins the first half, if there is a tie in the first half, or if Virginia wins the first half — meaning the market resolves YES in all three possible first-half outcomes. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as stated.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers multiple independent markets covering the full game final score including overtime. The moneyline resolves to either 'Wright State Raiders' or 'Virginia Cavaliers' based on the final score. Spread markets resolve based on the margin of victory (e.g., 'Virginia Cavaliers' if Virginia wins by 19+ points for the -18.5 spread). Over/Under markets resolve based on combined total points (e.g., 'Over' if combined score is 145 or more for the 144.5 line). All Polymarket markets reference 'final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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