TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC
Volume:
$4,954,845
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the outcome of a professional FA Cup soccer match between Wrexham AFC and Chelsea FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets track whether Wrexham wins, Chelsea wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket specifies that a canceled match with no make-up resolves Wrexham and Chelsea markets to No but the Draw market to Yes, creating potential inconsistency.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled with no rescheduling, Polymarket's Draw market will resolve Yes while Wrexham and Chelsea resolve No. Kalshi's behavior is undefined; assume it follows standard convention (all No) unless clarified. Traders should hedge across platforms or seek clarification from Kalshi before match day.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three binary markets, each resolving Yes if its outcome occurs (Wrexham win, Chelsea win, or Tie). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implicitly assumes the match will be completed as scheduled.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit postponement and cancellation logic. Wrexham and Chelsea markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up; Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up. Postponements keep markets open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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