TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.9b
24H VOL:
$163,854,306
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,185,829,855
506,570
Markets across
13,801
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,985
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC
Volume:
$16,280,384
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Premier League match between Wolverhampton Wanderers FC and Liverpool FC scheduled for March 3, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Wolverhampton win, a draw, or a Liverpool win, all determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while its win markets resolve No. Kalshi does not specify cancellation behavior, creating potential settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Monitor Premier League official channels for any cancellation announcement. If a full cancellation occurs with no rescheduled date, Polymarket traders face a split outcome (draw Yes, wins No), while Kalshi's resolution path is undefined. Request clarification from Kalshi support before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Wolverhampton win, Draw, Liverpool win). Draw market uniquely resolves Yes if game is canceled with no make-up. Win markets resolve No on full cancellation. All markets reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Primary source: official Premier League statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus thereafter.
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Wolverhampton win, Tie, Liverpool win) covering the same 90-minute plus stoppage time window. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Resolution logic only addresses the three match outcomes, leaving cancellation scenario undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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