TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC
Volume:
$9,215,508
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the English Premier League match between Wolverhampton Wanderers FC and Aston Villa FC scheduled for February 27, 2026. Markets assess whether Aston Villa wins, Wolverhampton wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic violates mutual exclusivity by resolving all three outcomes to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with consistent, mutually exclusive logic.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's structure is operationally sound and should be treated as the authoritative resolution source. Kalshi's market design contains a critical flaw that prevents valid settlement. Escalate Kalshi positions to PredictionHero settlement team before match completion.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three outcomes all resolve to Yes, creating logical contradiction. Market structure appears to conflate three separate binary outcomes into a single market without proper categorical framework. No cancellation logic provided.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive logic: Draw market resolves Yes if tie, No otherwise; Wolverhampton market resolves Yes if Wolves win, No otherwise; Aston Villa market resolves Yes if Villa win, No otherwise. Cancellation: Draw market resolves Yes if canceled; Win markets resolve No if canceled. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.