TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC
kalshi
polymarket

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC

Volume:
$9,215,508

Wolverhampton

 - Kalshi

Wolverhampton - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 28, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wolverhampton

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$857,200
N/A
N/A
$508,161
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$541,665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aston Villa FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,851,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aston Villa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,282,386
N/A
N/A
$1,417,025
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$424,603
N/A
N/A
$284,351
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258,186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the English Premier League match between Wolverhampton Wanderers FC and Aston Villa FC scheduled for February 27, 2026. Markets assess whether Aston Villa wins, Wolverhampton wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic violates mutual exclusivity by resolving all three outcomes to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with consistent, mutually exclusive logic.Hero tip: Polymarket's structure is operationally sound and should be treated as the authoritative resolution source. Kalshi's market design contains a critical flaw that prevents valid settlement. Escalate Kalshi positions to PredictionHero settlement team before match completion.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three outcomes all resolve to Yes, creating logical contradiction. Market structure appears to conflate three separate binary outcomes into a single market without proper categorical framework. No cancellation logic provided.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive logic: Draw market resolves Yes if tie, No otherwise; Wolverhampton market resolves Yes if Wolves win, No otherwise; Aston Villa market resolves Yes if Villa win, No otherwise. Cancellation: Draw market resolves Yes if canceled; Win markets resolve No if canceled. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.