TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wizards vs. Warriors
Volume:
$6,133,883
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA matchup between the Washington Wizards and Golden State Warriors scheduled for March 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with the final score including any overtime periods determining the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Wizards win OR Warriors win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Wizards vs. Warriors moneyline) and player/team prop markets with standard over/under thresholds. Kalshi's core moneyline market is broken; all other markets (props, spreads, totals) are unified across both platforms.Hero Tip:
DO NOT trade Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2). It will resolve YES regardless of outcome, violating basic market logic. All Polymarket markets and Kalshi's prop/spread/total markets are safe and aligned. If you hold Kalshi moneyline YES, you will win by default (arbitrage opportunity). If you hold Kalshi moneyline NO, you will lose by default (avoid this position).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) contains a logical contradiction. The rules state 'If Washington wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Golden State wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, making it unresolvable and incoherent. All other Kalshi markets (props, spreads, totals) align with Polymarket on standard resolution logic.
- Polymarket: Aligned with Kalshi (on all markets except Kalshi's broken moneyline): Polymarket's moneyline market (item 1) correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes: 'If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to Wizards. If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to Warriors.' All player props, spreads, and totals across both platforms use identical thresholds, sources (NBA.com official box score), and resolution conditions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.