TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wizards vs. Nets
Volume:
$5,467,355
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 3:30PM ET: If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, detailed market definitions with explicit resolution criteria for 125 distinct markets covering moneyline, spreads, totals, player props, and half-game variants. Kalshi provides only a single binary market that resolves YES if either team wins, creating a fundamental logical contradiction: Kalshi's market cannot resolve to NO under any realistic scenario, making it unresolvable as a prediction market.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market as presented. The resolution rule 'If Washington wins... then resolves to Yes. If Brooklyn wins... then resolves to Yes' means the market resolves YES regardless of outcome, violating basic prediction market logic. Polymarket's 125 markets are fully resolvable and should be your primary reference. Clarify Kalshi's intent with the platform before placing any bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket defines 125 separate, granular markets with explicit thresholds and resolution sources. Core logic includes moneyline (Wizards vs. Nets winner), spreads (Nets -2.5 through -11.5, Wizards -1.5 through -3.5), totals (O/U 219.5 through 232.5), player props (points, rebounds, assists for 10+ players), and first-half variants. All markets reference 'official NBA box score as published on NBA.com' or halftime score. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Example: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Wizards and Nets combine to score 230 or more points in this game.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides a single binary market with a logical contradiction in its resolution rule. The market states: 'If Washington wins the Washington at Brooklyn professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooklyn wins the Washington at Brooklyn professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This rule resolves to YES for all possible outcomes (Washington wins OR Brooklyn wins), leaving no scenario for a NO resolution. The market is logically unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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