TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wizards vs. Lakers
Volume:
$4,712,713
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 30 at 10:00PM ET: If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi markets resolve solely on combined team points (total score), while Polymarket offers multiple market types including moneyline (winner), point spreads, player props, and halftime markets. These are distinct event categories, not variations on the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
If you trade Kalshi's over/under markets, you are betting purely on combined scoring. If you trade Polymarket's moneyline or spread markets, you are betting on game outcome and margin. Do not assume a high-scoring game (Kalshi YES) guarantees a specific winner (Polymarket moneyline). Similarly, player prop markets on Polymarket are independent of Kalshi's team total markets—a high-scoring game does not guarantee any individual player exceeds their prop threshold.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers only combined team total (over/under) markets. All 11 Kalshi markets resolve based on whether combined Wizards + Lakers points exceed a specified threshold (ranging from 221.5 to 251.5 points). Resolution source is the final combined score. Example: 'If the teams in the Washington at Los Angeles L professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026 collectively score more than 224.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers a broad portfolio of market types: moneyline (winner), point spreads (margin), combined totals (over/under at different thresholds), player props (individual points, rebounds, assists), and halftime markets (first-half moneyline, first-half spread, first-half total). Each market type resolves on different underlying data (final score, final margin, individual player box score stats, halftime score). Example moneyline: 'If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to Wizards. If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to Lakers.' Example player prop: 'This market will resolve to Yes if LeBron James scores more than 23.5 points during the game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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