TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$230,557,910

24H TRANSACTIONS:

531,611,392

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,202,344,730

501,342

Markets across

13,602

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,822

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Wizards vs. Knicks

Volume:
$7,485,050
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 22 at 7:30PM ET: If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) resolve YES for either team winning, creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes cannot simultaneously occur. Polymarket's markets use standard binary or spread-based resolution with mutually exclusive outcomes. This makes Kalshi's markets fundamentally unresolvable as stated.

Hero Tip:

Avoid betting on Kalshi items 1-2 (moneyline) — they contain a fatal logical flaw where both 'Washington wins' and 'New York wins' resolve to YES, violating basic market mechanics. Polymarket's markets are logically sound and resolvable. If you must trade this event, use Polymarket only.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) state 'If Washington wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If New York wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to the same result. This violates fundamental market design and makes resolution impossible.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket's markets use mutually exclusive outcomes — moneyline resolves to either 'Wizards' or 'Knicks' (item 2), spreads resolve to either 'Knicks' or 'Wizards' based on margin thresholds (items 4, 14, 22, 28, 94), and player props resolve to 'Yes' or 'No' based on performance thresholds. All outcomes are logically consistent and resolvable based on final game statistics from NBA.com.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.