TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wizards vs. Heat
Volume:
$5,894,508
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Washington Wizards and Miami Heat scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spread, over/under totals, first-half outcomes, and individual player prop bets across multiple statistical categories.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction where both Washington win and Miami win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary and threshold-based resolution logic across all market types.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. For all other markets, use Polymarket's resolution framework: official NBA.com box scores as source, threshold-based settlement (e.g., Heat -15.5 requires 16+ point margin), 50-50 only for full cancellations with no make-up, and player inactivity defaults to No on props.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline states: 'If Washington wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Miami wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction; both outcomes cannot resolve to the same result in a binary market. No clear guidance on ties, postponements, or cancellations.
- Polymarket: Moneyline: Wizards win = 'Wizards', Heat win = 'Heat', tied at halftime or full cancellation = 50-50. Spreads use threshold logic (e.g., Heat -15.5 requires 16+ point win). Totals use combined score thresholds. Postponement keeps market open; full cancellation with no make-up = 50-50. Player props: inactivity or non-participation = No. Source: official NBA.com box score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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