TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wizards vs. Hawks
Volume:
$2,206,706
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Washington Wizards and Atlanta Hawks scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets measure individual team point thresholds that resolve independently to Yes, while Polymarket measures game outcomes, spreads, combined totals, and player performance. The two platforms are measuring different settlement values and cannot be reconciled as equivalent markets.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as separate event universes. Kalshi's 18 point-threshold markets will almost certainly all resolve Yes in any normal game (Washington likely scores 98+ and Atlanta likely scores 110+). Polymarket's outcome-based markets require specific game results. Do not assume correlation or use one to predict the other.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 18 independent binary markets, each resolving Yes if a single team exceeds a point threshold. Example: 'If Atlanta scores Above 113.5, market resolves Yes.' All thresholds are cumulative and independent; a single game outcome will trigger Yes on multiple markets simultaneously. No head-to-head comparison or combined totals.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to game winner (Wizards or Hawks). Spreads resolve based on margin (Hawks -9.5 to -12.5 require 10-13 point Hawks win). Totals resolve on combined scoring (233.5-237.5 require specific combined thresholds). Player props resolve on individual stat lines. First-half markets use halftime score only. All markets require specific game outcomes or stat achievements.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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