TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wizards vs. Celtics
Volume:
$8,316,114
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Washington Wizards and Boston Celtics scheduled for March 14, 2025 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline, spreads across multiple thresholds, over/under totals at various levels, first-half markets, and individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists). Resolution is based on official NBA box scores and final game results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides exhaustive market specifications with explicit edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation, overtime, player inactivity). Kalshi's market definition is skeletal and omits critical resolution details, creating ambiguity in edge cases.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket's detailed specifications as the primary resolution authority for all markets in this group. For Kalshi's binary win/loss contract, assume standard NBA rules (final score including overtime, official NBA.com source) but confirm edge-case handling directly with Kalshi before settlement. Monitor for any game postponement or cancellation announcements.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Comprehensive market definitions across 154 markets (moneyline, 40+ spread thresholds, 20+ total thresholds, first-half markets, 20+ player props). Each market explicitly states: postponement handling (remain open until completion), cancellation handling (resolve 50-50), overtime inclusion (entire game including all OT periods), player inactivity (resolve No for props). Example: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.' Resolution source: official NBA box score on NBA.com.
- Kalshi: Single binary market with minimal specification: 'If Boston wins the Washington at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit handling of postponement, cancellation, overtime, tie scenarios, or resolution source. Ambiguity on what constitutes a 'win' and how edge cases are handled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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