This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Wisconsin Badgers and Oregon Ducks scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-4.5 and -5.5), and over/under totals (151.5 and 152.5), with consistent resolution based on final score including overtime.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on the same game, date, and resolution methodology: final score including overtime, with identical postponement and cancellation protocols.
Primary resolution logic:
NCAA official final score (ncaa.com)
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline: Wisconsin wins if final score is higher; Oregon wins if final score is higher
Spread (-4.5): Wisconsin wins if margin of victory is 5+ points; otherwise Oregon wins
Spread (-5.5): Wisconsin wins if margin of victory is 6+ points; otherwise Oregon wins
Over/Under (151.5): Over if combined score is 152+; Under if combined score is 151 or less
Over/Under (152.5): Over if combined score is 153+; Under if combined score is 152 or less
All outcomes determined from final score including overtime periods
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a future date. Resolution occurs based on the rescheduled game's final score.
Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes/No or applicable outcomes).
Overtime: All point totals and spreads include any overtime periods played. The final score after all overtime is used for resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the conclusion of the game on February 25, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed), based on the official NCAA final score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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