TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Winter Olympics 2026: Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's
Volume:
$655,824
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets for the Women's Snowboard Halfpipe gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer markets on individual athletes who may win the medal, with Polymarket also including a catch-all 'someone else' option. Resolution depends on the official IOC medal ceremony outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket contains 15 undefined placeholder markets that cannot be resolved against real-world outcomes. Kalshi provides a complete, named athlete roster with no ambiguity. This creates a data integrity failure on Polymarket: placeholder markets are logically unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Polymarket placeholder positions. They will resolve to 'No' per Polymarket's own rule: 'If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win...the corresponding market will resolve to No.' Kalshi's named-athlete-only approach is the safe, resolvable market set. Cross-reference athlete names between platforms to identify overlaps and arbitrage opportunities on named athletes only.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Market set includes 17 named athletes plus 15 undefined 'Placeholder' entries (Placeholder 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15) and a catch-all 'someone else' option. Placeholders have no athlete identity and cannot be matched to real-world outcomes. Per Polymarket rules: 'If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win...the corresponding market will resolve to No.' All 15 placeholder markets are unresolvable and will resolve to 'No'.
- Kalshi: Market set lists exactly 25 named, identifiable athletes (Yanyi Ai, Madeline Schaffrick, Isabelle Loetscher, Emily Arthur, Chloe Kim, Amelie Haskell, Shaotong Wu, Rise Kudo, Brooke Dhondt, Yang Lu, Sena Tomita, Sonora Alba, Queralt Castellet, Misaki Vaughan, Maddie Mastro, Leilani Ettel, Kona Ettel, Felicity Geremia, Elizabeth Hosking, Xuetong Cai, Sara Shimizu, Nayoon Lee, Mitsuki Ono, Gaon Choi, Anne Hedrich). No placeholders or catch-all. All markets are deterministic and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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