TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Winter Olympics 2026: Skeleton - Men's
Volume:
$57,601
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets for the Men's Skeleton competition at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Markets resolve based on which athlete wins the gold medal in this individual sliding sport. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer binary or multiple-choice markets on the same underlying outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve on the same underlying fact: the identity of the official IOC-recognized gold medal winner in Men's Skeleton at 2026 Milano-Cortina, determined at the medal ceremony.
Primary resolution logic:
International Olympic Committee official records and medal ceremony declaration (https://www.olympics.com/)Core resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by the athlete awarded the gold medal in Men's Skeleton at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics
- Resolution occurs at the time of the official medal ceremony
- The resolution source is the International Olympic Committee's official announcement and records
- Only the gold medal winner triggers a Yes resolution; silver and bronze do not
- Subsequent disqualifications, appeals, or amendments after the ceremony are not considered for resolution purposes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Event Postponement or Cancellation: If the Men's Skeleton event is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled entirely, Polymarket resolves to Other. Kalshi rules do not explicitly address this scenario; assume no resolution if event does not occur.
- Tied Gold Medal (Multiple Winners): If two or more athletes are awarded gold, Polymarket resolves in favor of the participant whose name comes first alphabetically as listed in the market. Kalshi treats each listed athlete as a separate Yes resolution if they are among the tied gold medalists.
- Athlete Disqualification Post-Ceremony: Both platforms explicitly state that subsequent disqualifications or amendments after the medal ceremony are not considered. The resolution is locked at the moment of the ceremony announcement.
- Placeholder Participants (Polymarket): Polymarket includes 15 Placeholder entries (1-15) representing unknown or unconfirmed athletes. These resolve to No if the placeholder athlete is eliminated, does not compete, or is not identified before the event. Named athletes on Polymarket (e.g., Christopher Grotheer, Samuel Maier) resolve identically to Kalshi.
- Unknown Winner Not Listed: Polymarket includes a catch-all market for someone else winning. If an athlete not explicitly listed on either platform wins gold, Kalshi has no corresponding market (implicit No for all listed athletes); Polymarket's someone else market resolves Yes.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at the official medal ceremony for Men's Skeleton at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Polymarket imposes a hard deadline of March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET; if no gold medal is declared by then, it resolves to Other. Kalshi does not specify a deadline but assumes standard Olympic resolution timing.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.