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Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 10km Sprint
kalshi
polymarket

Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 10km Sprint

Volume:
$100,600

Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA)

 - Polymarket

Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 13, 2026

Will Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 10km Sprint at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,198
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Quentin Fillon Maillet

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$4,305
$194
0%
0%
$194
N/A
polymarket

Erik Perrot (FRA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,349
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Martin Uldal (NOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,877
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Vitalii Mandzyn (UKR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,962
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Tommaso Giacomel (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,818
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Oscar Lombardot (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,569
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Florent Claude (BEL)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,386
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Maxime Germain (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,246
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Sean Doherty (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,241
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Vetle Sjaastad Christiansen (NOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,522
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Emilien Jacquelin (FRA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,398
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Johan-Olav Botn (NOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,255
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Olli Hiidensalo (FIN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,033
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Tommaso Giacomel

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,995
0%
0%
$2,949
N/A
polymarket

Lovro Planko (SLO)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,727
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Johan-Olav Botn

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$4,900
$2,373
0%
0%
$2,193
N/A
polymarket

Martin Ponsiluoma (SWE)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,339
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Justus Strelow (GER)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,337
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Tuomas Harjula (FIN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,336
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Dmytro Pidruchnyi (UKR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,285
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Sebastian Stalder (SUI)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,242
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Joscha Burkhalter (SUI)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,729
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Eric Perrot

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$4,900
$1,517
0%
0%
$1,510
N/A
polymarket

Andreis Rastorgujevs (LAT)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,469
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 144

Description

This event group covers prediction markets for the gold medal winner in the Men's 10km Sprint biathlon event at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on individual athletes who might win this Olympic medal, with Kalshi listing 8 specific contenders and Polymarket offering 40+ individual athlete markets plus placeholders and a catch-all 'someone else' option.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve to the athlete awarded the gold medal by the IOC at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics medal ceremony, with consistent source (olympics.com) and timing (medal ceremony), though Polymarket includes explicit edge-case handling for ties and post-deadline cancellations while Kalshi does not.Primary resolution logic: International Olympic Committee official information (https://www.olympics.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the athlete awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics Men's 10km Sprint biathlon event
  • Resolution occurs at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony
  • The resolution source is official information from the International Olympic Committee
  • Subsequent disqualifications or amendments after the medal ceremony are not considered
  • Individual athlete markets resolve to Yes if that athlete wins gold; No if they do not or are eliminated

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Event Postponement or Cancellation: If the event is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled entirely, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario
  • No Gold Medal Declared: If no gold medal has been declared within the deadline (March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET), Polymarket resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi does not specify handling
  • Tied Gold Medals: If multiple athletes are awarded the gold medal, Polymarket resolves in favor of the participant whose name comes first alphabetically; Kalshi does not address this scenario
  • Participant Elimination: If a listed participant becomes ineligible per IOC rules before the event, Polymarket markets on that participant resolve to No
  • Placeholder Markets: Polymarket includes 15 placeholder markets (Placeholder 1-15) for unknown or late-entry athletes; these resolve based on the actual athlete assigned to each placeholder slot
Timing: Resolution occurs at the time of the medal/podium ceremony for the Men's 10km Sprint biathlon at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Deadline for resolution is March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.