TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 10km Sprint
Volume:
$100,600
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets for the gold medal winner in the Men's 10km Sprint biathlon event at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on individual athletes who might win this Olympic medal, with Kalshi listing 8 specific contenders and Polymarket offering 40+ individual athlete markets plus placeholders and a catch-all 'someone else' option.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve to the athlete awarded the gold medal by the IOC at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics medal ceremony, with consistent source (olympics.com) and timing (medal ceremony), though Polymarket includes explicit edge-case handling for ties and post-deadline cancellations while Kalshi does not.
Primary resolution logic:
International Olympic Committee official information (https://www.olympics.com)Core resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by the athlete awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics Men's 10km Sprint biathlon event
- Resolution occurs at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony
- The resolution source is official information from the International Olympic Committee
- Subsequent disqualifications or amendments after the medal ceremony are not considered
- Individual athlete markets resolve to Yes if that athlete wins gold; No if they do not or are eliminated
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Event Postponement or Cancellation: If the event is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled entirely, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario
- No Gold Medal Declared: If no gold medal has been declared within the deadline (March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET), Polymarket resolves to 'Other'; Kalshi does not specify handling
- Tied Gold Medals: If multiple athletes are awarded the gold medal, Polymarket resolves in favor of the participant whose name comes first alphabetically; Kalshi does not address this scenario
- Participant Elimination: If a listed participant becomes ineligible per IOC rules before the event, Polymarket markets on that participant resolve to No
- Placeholder Markets: Polymarket includes 15 placeholder markets (Placeholder 1-15) for unknown or late-entry athletes; these resolve based on the actual athlete assigned to each placeholder slot
Timing:
Resolution occurs at the time of the medal/podium ceremony for the Men's 10km Sprint biathlon at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Deadline for resolution is March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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