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402,751

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Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m
kalshi
polymarket

Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m

Volume:
$123,040

Antionette Rijpma-De Jong (NED)

 - Polymarket

Antionette Rijpma-De Jong (NED) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Will Antionette Rijpma-De Jong (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Antionette Rijpma-De Jong (NED)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,730
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Netherlands

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,453
0%
0%
$8,443
N/A
polymarket

Miho Takagi (JPN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,235
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Femke Kok (NED)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,076
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Korea Republic

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,348
0%
0%
$5,782
N/A
kalshi

Japan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,333
0%
0%
$6,232
N/A
polymarket

Ragne Wiklund (NOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,399
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Francesca Lollobrigida (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,010
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Brittany Bowe (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,461
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Marijke Groenewoud (NED)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,393
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Greta Myers (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,131
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Nadezhda Morozova (KAZ)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,967
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Italy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,773
0%
0%
$1,590
N/A
polymarket

Mei Han (CHN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,666
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Jiaxuan Li (CHN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,140
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Norway

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,987
0%
0%
$1,987
N/A
polymarket

Ivanie Blondin (CAN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,851
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

United States

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,810
0%
0%
$1,742
N/A
polymarket

Natalia Czerwonka (POL)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,800
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Kaitlin McGregor (SUI)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,584
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Isabelle Van Elst (BEL)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,457
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Ayano Sato (JPN)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,443
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Nikola Zdrahaleva (CZE)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,306
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

China PR

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,272
0%
0%
$1,272
N/A
polymarket

Elizaveta Golubeva (KAZ)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,266
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 53

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on who will win the gold medal in Women's 1500m Speed Skating at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Kalshi offers country-level binary markets, while Polymarket offers individual athlete markets plus placeholder slots and a catch-all 'someone else' option.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi operates at country level (17 binary markets per country), while Polymarket operates at individual athlete level (16 named athletes, 5 undefined placeholders, 1 catch-all). A single gold medal outcome satisfies exactly one Kalshi market and exactly one Polymarket market, but the mapping is not one-to-one due to placeholder opacity.Hero tip: Understand that these are not redundant markets. Kalshi YES on 'Netherlands' resolves independently of which Dutch athlete wins (Rijpma-De Jong, Kok, or Groenewoud). Polymarket resolves on the specific athlete. If you want to hedge, you must identify the likely athlete per country and trade accordingly. Placeholders (1, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15) are unresolvable without disclosure of which athletes they represent.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Country-level binary markets. 17 separate YES/NO markets, one per nation (Germany, China PR, Kazakhstan, Japan, Italy, Denmark, Switzerland, Netherlands, Korea Republic, Austria, United States, Poland, Norway, Great Britain, Czechia, Canada, Belgium). Each resolves YES if that country's athlete wins gold, NO otherwise. No athlete-level granularity.
  • Polymarket: Individual athlete markets plus structural gaps. 16 named athletes (Rijpma-De Jong, Kok, Groenewoud, Lollobrigida, Yang, Takagi, Morozova, Bowe, Zdrahaleva, Wiklund, Czerwonka, Blondin, Li, Sato, Han, Myers, Horikawa, Van Elst, Golubeva, McGregor) plus 5 undefined 'Placeholder' slots (1, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15) and 1 catch-all 'someone else' market. Placeholders lack athlete identity, creating resolution ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.