TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 500m
kalshi
polymarket

Winter Games 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 500m

Volume:
$109,140

Jordan Stolz

 - Kalshi

Jordan Stolz - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 19, 2026

Will Jordan Stolz win the gold medal in Speed Skating Men's 500m?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jordan Stolz

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$6,147
$60,612
0%
0%
$42,418
N/A
polymarket

Steven Dubois (CAN)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,369
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Denis Nikisha (KAZ)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$232,021
$3,701
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Jens Van’t Wout (NED)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$232,600
$1,870
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Teun Boer (NED)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$232,274
$1,332
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

William Dandjinou (CAN)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$232,105
$1,080
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Shaoang Liu (CHN)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$226,837
$544
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Damian Żurek

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$7,460
$10,520
0%
0%
$8,824
N/A
kalshi

Jenning de Boo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$13,883
$9,748
0%
0%
$7,496
N/A
kalshi

Laurent Dubreuil

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$853
$2,339
0%
0%
$2,301
N/A
polymarket

Daniil Eibog (UZB)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$2,259
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Melle Van’t Wout (NED)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,213
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Michal Newinski (POL)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,108
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Joonho Kim

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,392
$886
0%
0%
$886
N/A
polymarket

Diane Sellier (POL)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$763
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Cooper McLeod

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$712
$702
0%
0%
$702
N/A
polymarket

Furkan Akar (TUR)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$653
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Long Sun (CHN)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$526
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Andrew Heo (USA)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$500
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Jeffrey Rosanelli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,996
$500
0%
0%
$500
N/A
polymarket

Maxime Laouin (CAN)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$498
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Pietro Sighel (ITA)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$496
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Peter Jaszapati (HUN)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$480
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Felix Pigeon (POL)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$475
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Reinis Berzins (LAT)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$471
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 68

Description

This event group covers prediction markets for the Men's 500m Speed Skating gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics in Milano-Cortina. Both Kalshi and Polymarket offer binary markets on whether specific athletes will win the gold medal, with Kalshi listing 28 named competitors and Polymarket using a mix of named athletes and placeholder identifiers across 42 individual markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's use of 15 unresolved placeholder identifiers without disclosed athlete mappings creates a data integrity failure that makes those markets fundamentally unresolvable until clarification is provided. Additionally, Polymarket's alphabetical tie-breaking rule and catch-all market introduce structural differences absent from Kalshi's simpler binary design.Hero tip: Avoid trading Polymarket placeholder markets until the platform publishes the athlete-to-placeholder mapping. Stick with Kalshi's named-athlete markets or Polymarket's explicitly named athletes (Shogo Miyata, Steven Dubois, etc.) for clarity. If you must trade Polymarket, treat the catch-all "someone else" market as a hedge against placeholder resolution failures.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 28 binary markets, each named after a specific athlete. Resolution: Yes if that athlete wins the 2026 Winter Olympics Men's 500m speed skating gold medal; No if any other athlete wins or the named athlete is eliminated per IOC rules. No tie-breaking rules or catch-all markets. Source: Official IOC information.
  • Polymarket: 42 markets: 27 explicitly named athletes plus 15 unresolved placeholders (Placeholder 1-15), plus one catch-all "someone else" market. Resolution: Yes if the named/placeholder athlete wins gold; No if eliminated. If multiple athletes tie for gold, resolves to the athlete whose name comes first alphabetically. Placeholders lack disclosed mappings. Source: Official IOC information (olympics.com). Deadline: if event postponed after 31 March 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or no gold declared by deadline, resolves to Other.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.