This event group covers prediction markets for which country will win the gold medal in Women's Curling at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Markets are structured as binary yes/no questions for named countries (Canada, USA, Sweden, etc.) plus placeholder entries and an 'other' category on Polymarket, while Kalshi offers individual yes/no markets for the same set of eligible nations.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve to the official IOC-declared gold medal winner for Women's Curling at 2026 Milano-Cortina, with consistent treatment of elimination, disqualification, and cancellation scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
International Olympic Committee official records (https://www.olympics.com/)
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is determined by the country awarded the gold medal in Women's Curling at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics as declared by the IOC at the medal ceremony.
If a listed participant is eliminated or becomes ineligible per IOC rules prior to or during the event, that participant's market resolves to 'No'.
Subsequent disqualifications, amendments, or medal revocations after the medal ceremony are not considered for resolution purposes.
On Polymarket, if multiple countries are awarded gold, the market resolves in favor of the participant whose name comes first alphabetically among the winners.
On Polymarket, if the event is postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or no gold medal is declared by that deadline, the market resolves to 'Other'.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Multiple Gold Medals (Tie): Polymarket applies alphabetical ordering of listed participant names to determine the single resolution. Kalshi would resolve 'Yes' for each tied nation, though this is not explicitly stated.
Event Postponement or Cancellation: Polymarket resolves to 'Other' if postponed after March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET or canceled. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario; resolution would depend on Kalshi's standard force majeure procedures.
Participant Elimination: If a country is eliminated during competition or becomes ineligible per IOC rules, that country's market resolves to 'No' on both platforms.
Placeholder Entries: Polymarket includes 15 placeholder entries (Placeholder 1-15) representing unspecified nations. These resolve 'No' unless the corresponding nation wins gold and is matched to the placeholder.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at the time of the official medal ceremony for Women's Curling at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Polymarket applies a hard deadline of March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET; if gold is not declared by then, it resolves to 'Other'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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