TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
William & Mary Tribe vs. Hampton Pirates (W)
Volume:
$35,731
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between William & Mary Tribe and Hampton Pirates scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on the final game outcome, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both a Hampton win and a William & Mary win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the platform issues a corrected resolution statement. The current logic is self-contradictory and will create settlement disputes. Polymarket's binary structure is operationally sound and should be the reference market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to the winning team name. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Final score including overtime determines outcome. Source: NCAA.com.
- Kalshi: Critical logical flaw: both outcomes (Hampton win AND William & Mary win) are mapped to Yes resolution. No differentiation mechanism exists. This violates basic binary market logic and makes settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.