TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Total volume:
$50,782
Volume 24h:
$111
39%
Liquidity:
$22,810
23%
Open interest:
$810
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether QFEX will launch an official, publicly tradable token by various dates spanning from March 31, 2026 through December 31, 2027. The markets exclude stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens, requiring only genuine native token launches that are actively trading on public markets.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Predict employ identical resolution criteria, timing windows, token qualification rules, and primary resolution sources across all eight date-based markets.
Primary resolution logic:
QFEX official communications (https://x.com/QFEX), with consensus of credible reporting as secondary verificationCore resolution logic:
- Token must be officially launched by QFEX (not third-party or community-issued)
- Token must be actively and publicly tradable on at least one public market or exchange
- Stablecoins, memecoins, Liquid Staking Tokens (LSTs), and synthetic tokens explicitly do not qualify
- Announcements, roadmap commitments, or pre-launch activities do not trigger YES resolution
- Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on the specified cutoff date for each market
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Announcement vs. Launch: If QFEX announces a token launch date but the token is not yet actively tradable by the market cutoff, the market resolves NO. Only active public trading counts.
- Token Type Exclusions: If QFEX launches a stablecoin, memecoin, LST, or synthetic derivative by the cutoff date, the market resolves NO. Only native governance or utility tokens qualify.
- Multiple Token Launches: If QFEX launches multiple tokens, the market resolves YES if at least one qualifies (native, official, publicly tradable). Earlier launches satisfy later date markets.
- Exchange Listing Timing: Token must be actively tradable by the cutoff time. If listed after 11:59 PM ET on the specified date, that market resolves NO, but earlier-dated markets remain unaffected.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each specified cutoff date (March 31, 2026; June 30, 2026; September 30, 2026; December 31, 2026; March 31, 2027; June 30, 2027; September 30, 2027; December 31, 2027). Markets are evaluated independently; a YES resolution on an earlier date does not automatically resolve later markets YES, but logically supports that outcome.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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