TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Will Oro launch a token by ___?
Total volume:
$124,050
Volume 24h:
$2,685
78%
Liquidity:
$15,474
0.41%
Open interest:
$7,113
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether Oro (a gold-backed application) will launch an officially tradable governance token by specified dates in 2026. The markets span four resolution dates: March 31, June 30, September 30, and December 31, 2026. All markets require the token to be actively and publicly transferable and tradable—announcements alone do not qualify.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms apply identical resolution criteria: token must be officially launched, actively transferable, and publicly tradable by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date, with primary source being Oro's official channels and secondary source being credible reporting consensus.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Oro sources (https://x.com/orogoldapp) with consensus of credible reporting as secondary sourceCore resolution logic:
- Token must be a governance token officially launched by Oro
- Token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable
- Launch must occur by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date
- Announcements, pre-launch statements, or non-tradable contracts do not qualify
- Resolution occurs at the deadline specified in each market title
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Announcement vs. Launch: A public announcement of a token launch does not resolve to YES. The token must be actively tradable on at least one public exchange or DEX.
- Limited Transferability: If a token is launched but has transfer restrictions, lock-ups, or is not publicly tradable, it does not qualify for YES resolution.
- Multiple Token Launches: If Oro launches multiple tokens, resolution is YES if at least one governance token meets the criteria by the deadline.
- Source Conflict: If Oro's official statement conflicts with credible reporting, Oro's official channels take precedence as the primary resolution source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each specified date: March 31, 2026; June 30, 2026; September 30, 2026; and December 31, 2026. Markets are ordered chronologically, creating a cascading resolution structure where earlier dates resolve first.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.