TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Total volume:
$2,340,463
Volume 24h:
$13,627
12%
Liquidity:
$92,434
18%
Open interest:
$408,316
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group asks whether Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior will appear as a player in at least one official match for Brazil during the 2026 FIFA World Cup (group stage or later). Resolution requires any on-field appearance in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, or shootout to trigger a 'Yes' outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three platforms use identical resolution criteria, scope, and primary source with no material divergence.
Primary resolution logic:
FIFA official records (https://www.fifa.com/), supplemented by consensus of credible sports reportingCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves 'Yes' if Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Brazil during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
- Qualifying matches must occur at group stage or later (knockout rounds, finals, etc.)
- Any on-field appearance qualifies, including regulation time, stoppage time, extra time, or penalty shootout
- Market resolves 'No' if Neymar does not appear as a player in any official match, or if Brazil does not qualify for the tournament
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Substitute appearance: Any on-field appearance as a player, including substitute entry, qualifies for 'Yes' resolution regardless of minutes played
- Brazil non-qualification: If Brazil fails to qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the market resolves 'No' as Neymar cannot play in a tournament Brazil does not enter
- Injury or withdrawal: If Neymar is injured or withdrawn from the squad prior to the tournament, the market resolves 'No' unless he recovers and plays in at least one match
- Penalty shootout only: Appearance during a penalty shootout (without prior on-field play in regulation or extra time) qualifies for 'Yes' resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the conclusion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup tournament (expected late June/early July 2026), confirmed by official FIFA records and credible reporting consensusOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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