TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Total volume:
$151,423
Volume 24h:
$24,572
1,015%
Liquidity:
$9,893
0.08%
Open interest:
$83,393
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group asks whether Lionel Messi will appear as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup (June 11–July 19, 2026) in North America. Resolution requires any on-field appearance in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, or shootout at the group stage or later.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three platforms specify identical resolution criteria: YES if Messi appears as a player in at least one official Argentina match at group stage or later during the 2026 FIFA World Cup; NO otherwise.
Primary resolution logic:
FIFA official records (https://www.fifa.com/), with consensus of credible sports reporting as secondary sourceCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup
- Resolution applies only to matches at group stage or later
- Any on-field appearance qualifies: regulation time, stoppage time, extra time, or shootout
- Market resolves NO if Messi does not appear as a player in any official Argentina match during the tournament
- Appearance must be for Argentina national team only; club appearances are excluded
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Substitute appearance: Any on-field appearance, including as a substitute entering mid-match, qualifies for YES resolution
- Injury or withdrawal: If Messi is named to the squad but does not play due to injury, illness, or coach decision, market resolves NO
- Argentina elimination: If Argentina is eliminated before group stage completion, the market still resolves based on whether Messi played in any official match during the tournament
- Friendly or warm-up matches: Only official FIFA World Cup matches count; pre-tournament friendlies or warm-ups do not qualify
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the 2026 FIFA World Cup concludes on July 19, 2026, or immediately upon confirmation that Argentina's final group-stage or knockout match has been played and Messi's participation status is confirmedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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