TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Will Hylo launch a token by ___?
polymarket
predict

Will Hylo launch a token by ___?

Total volume:
$443,231
Volume 24h:
$731
155,488%
Liquidity:
$44,128
43%
Open interest:
$3,198N/A

December 31, 2027

 - Polymarket

December 31, 2027 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027?

56%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 58¢ buys you 172 shares | Odds: 56% Total Payout: $172 | Net Profit: $72 Multiplier: 1.72x | ROI: 72% | APY: 57% Low liquidity 443 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2027

Trade
56%
2%
Yes 58¢No 45¢
3¢
$867
$23,696
0%
1%
N/A
1y 2mo 2w
active
polymarket

December 31, 2026

12%
2%
Yes 13¢No 89¢
2¢
$2,708
$10,815
0%
0.11%
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
active
predict

December 31, 2026

10%
Yes 12.7¢No 91.9¢
4.6¢
$35,134
$165,727
0.01%
0.44%
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10.5%
Yes 12.9¢No 90.5¢
Avg: 3.3¢Max: 4.6¢
predict

September 30, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$5,419
$150,888
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
polymarket

September 30, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,214
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

June 30, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,085
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
polymarket

June 30, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,512
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
polymarket

March 31, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 4d
No
Total markets: 8

Intro

This market tracks whether Hylo will launch a governance token by December 31, 2027. Currently, the aggregated probability across Polymarket and Predict indicates a 55.0% chance of Hylo launching a token by that date, with a 14.5% probability for launch by December 31, 2026. Resolution will be based on announcements from Hylo’s official X account (https://x.com/hylo_so) with supporting verification from credible reporting. Keep an eye on Hylo’s communications leading up to the resolution date estimate of January 1, 2028, to see if they announce any firm plans for a token launch.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict platforms use identical resolution logic: token must be officially launched, actively transferable, and publicly tradable by the deadline; announcements alone do not qualify.Primary resolution logic: Hylo official X account (https://x.com/hylo_so) with consensus of credible reporting as supporting verification

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be officially launched by Hylo
  • Token must be actively and publicly transferable
  • Token must be actively and publicly tradable
  • Launch must occur by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date
  • Announcements of future launches do not qualify; actual live trading capability required
  • Resolution determined by primary source (Hylo official channels) with credible reporting consensus as tiebreaker

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Announcement vs Launch: If Hylo announces a token launch date but the token is not yet transferable or tradable by the deadline, the market resolves NO. The token must be live and functional, not merely promised.
  • Limited vs Public Trading: If the token is only available to a limited group (e.g., private sale, whitelist) and not publicly tradable, the market resolves NO. Public availability is required.
  • Testnet vs Mainnet: If the token exists only on testnet or in a non-production environment, the market resolves NO. The token must be on a live, production blockchain.
  • Multiple Date Markets: Earlier date markets (March 31, June 30) resolve YES if launch occurs by that date. Later date markets (September 30, December 31) also resolve YES if launch occurred by their respective deadlines. All markets are independent.
Timing: Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each specified date (March 31, June 30, September 30, December 31, 2026). Markets settle independently based on whether the launch has occurred by that deadline.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hylo officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Hylo (https://x.com/hylo_so), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hylo officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Hylo (https://x.com/hylo_so), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the Hylo token launch market across multiple prediction platforms, providing a consensus view of whether a token will be launched by a specific date. Currently, the aggregated volume for this market is $443,231, with $15 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket and Predict are the primary venues contributing to this view. The dashboard aggregates data to offer a more comprehensive assessment than looking at any single platform in isolation, reflecting the collective wisdom of prediction market traders.

Unlike traditional spot markets that reflect current prices, prediction market odds represent expectations about future events. In this market, the price reflects traders’ collective belief about the probability of Hylo launching a token by the resolution date. These probabilities can differ significantly from any current valuation of Hylo or related projects. The prices on Polymarket and Predict offer different perspectives on this probability, influenced by the user base and trading activity on each platform. This allows for a nuanced understanding of potential outcomes.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to several factors. Each platform has a unique user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, impacting their trading decisions. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, trading volume and liquidity can fluctuate independently on each platform, leading to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027? at 56.5%, while Predict leans toward Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2026? at 10.4%. These differences highlight the diverse perspectives within the prediction market ecosystem.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Hylo has officially launched a token accessible to the public by that date. The outcome will be determined by examining official announcements from the Hylo team and verifying the token’s availability through blockchain explorers and other reliable sources. The final price will reflect whether the token launch occurred as defined by these publicly available sources.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from the Hylo team regarding token launch plans, partnerships, or technological developments would be key catalysts. Positive or negative news regarding the regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies could also influence trader sentiment. Major milestones in Hylo's development, such as the completion of a testnet or the announcement of a launch date, could drive price movement. Overall market conditions in the crypto space, and the performance of similar projects, will likely play a role in shaping the price of this market.