TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.1b

24H VOL:

$198,735,462

24H TRANSACTIONS:

527,413,651

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,238,334,809

499,092

Markets across

13,695

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,769

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
polymarket
predict
Trending

Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?

Total volume:
$100,310
Volume 24h:
$38
27%
Liquidity:
$2,147
4%
Open interest:
$2,326
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if GMGN (https://gmgn.ai/app) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from GMGN, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical criteria: token must be officially launched, actively transferable, and publicly tradable by 11:59 PM ET on the deadline date; announcements alone do not trigger resolution to Yes.

Primary resolution logic:

Official GMGN communications (gmgn.ai) with consensus of credible reporting as secondary verification

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be officially launched by GMGN, not merely announced or committed to
  • Token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable at the time of deadline
  • Deadline is 11:59 PM ET on the specified date (December 31, 2025 OR March 31, 2026 OR December 31, 2026 depending on market)
  • Announcements, pre-launch phases, or non-transferable tokens do not qualify for Yes resolution
  • Resolution sources: primary is GMGN official sources; secondary is consensus of credible media reporting

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Announcement without trading: If GMGN announces a token launch but it is not yet actively tradable by the deadline, market resolves No
  • Limited or restricted trading: If token is launched but trading is restricted, whitelisted, or not publicly available, market resolves No
  • Token launch after deadline: If token launches after 11:59 PM ET on the specified deadline date, market resolves No
  • Source conflict: If GMGN official sources conflict with media reporting, GMGN official sources take precedence; consensus of credible reporting is used only as secondary confirmation

Timing:

Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each market's specified deadline date (December 31, 2025; March 31, 2026; or December 31, 2026). Markets are independent and resolve separately based on their individual deadlines.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.