TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.7b

24H VOL:

$99,401,033

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,177,208,320

335,484

Markets across

33,267

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,184

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
Crypto
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Total volume:
$532,153
Volume 24h:
$10
98%
Liquidity:
$19,797
9%
Open interest:
$19,546
0%

Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?

all

2 markets

Predict

29%

Polymarket

28%

consensus

28.5%

-18.5%

spread

28-29%

(1pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 27

Vol.

$23.2k

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?

28%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 29¢ buys you 345 shares | Odds: 28% Total Payout: $345 | Net Profit: $245 Multiplier: 3.45x | ROI: 245% High Projected APY: 3,408% 127 days to resolution
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 28¢ buys you 357 shares | Odds: 27% Total Payout: $357 | Net Profit: $257 Multiplier: 3.57x | ROI: 257% High Projected APY: 3,780% 127 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum will reach $1,000 or $3,000 first, with a secondary Bitcoin market on Kalshi asking if BTC reaches $75,000 before $100,000. The primary Ethereum markets (Polymarket and Predict) are identical in structure and resolution logic, while Kalshi's Bitcoin market operates independently with different price thresholds and a different asset class.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Asset class fragmentation within a single event group. The group title specifies Ethereum, but Kalshi's market resolves on Bitcoin with different price thresholds and no explicit data source specification, creating scope ambiguity.Hero tip: Treat the Ethereum markets (Polymarket and Predict) as a unified pair with consistent Binance ETH/USDT resolution. Monitor Kalshi's Bitcoin market separately and clarify its data source before settlement, as it lacks explicit feed specification unlike the Ethereum markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Ethereum (ETH/USDT) binary: resolves YES if $1,000 hit first, NO if $3,000 hit first, 50-50 if neither by Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Resolution source: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Ethereum's price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price.'
  • Predict: Ethereum (ETH/USDT) binary: identical logic to Polymarket. Resolves YES if $1,000 hit first, NO if $3,000 hit first, 50-50 if neither by Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Resolution source: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles.
  • Kalshi: Bitcoin (BTC) binary: resolves YES if $75,000 reached before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. NO if $100,000 reached first. Resolution source: NOT EXPLICITLY SPECIFIED. Key Quote: 'If BTC reaches $75,000 before reaching $100,000 between Issuance and 11:59 PM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Ethereum’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Ethereum’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Predict

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Ethereum’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Ethereum’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

The Odds & Prediction Markets dashboard aggregates the Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first question across multiple platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi. It tracks real-time probability consensus, cumulative trading volume of $526,782, and 24-hour activity at $40,451. This cross-platform view lets traders see how different markets price the same outcome, revealing where consensus is strongest and where divergence exists. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect the latest odds shifts and liquidity across venues.