TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Citrea officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by Citrea will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Citrea (https://x.com/citrea_xyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Citrea official communications via https://x.com/citrea_xyz, with consensus of credible reporting as secondary confirmationCore resolution logic:
- Token must be officially launched by Citrea (not third-party or community-created)
- Token must be actively and publicly tradable on at least one public market or exchange
- Announcements, roadmap commitments, or pre-launch activities do not qualify; actual trading availability is required
- Excluded token types: stablecoins, memecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), and synthetic tokens
- Resolution timestamp is 11:59 PM ET on the specified deadline date
- If token launches before deadline, market resolves YES; if deadline passes without launch, market resolves NO
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Token launched but immediately delisted: If a token achieves active public trading status before the deadline (even briefly), it satisfies the resolution criteria. Subsequent delisting does not retroactively change the resolution.
- Multiple token launches: If Citrea launches multiple tokens, the first official token launch that meets all criteria triggers YES resolution for all markets with deadlines on or after that date.
- Ambiguous official status: If credible reporting conflicts on whether a launch is 'official' or 'by Citrea', the primary source (Citrea's own X/Twitter account) takes precedence; consensus of credible reporting serves as tiebreaker.
- Token trading on unverified or illicit exchanges only: Trading must occur on recognized, credible public markets or exchanges. Trading only on unverified or illicit platforms does not satisfy the 'actively and publicly tradable' requirement.
Timing:
Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each market's specified deadline date. Markets with earlier deadlines (June 30, 2026) resolve first; later deadlines (December 31, 2027) resolve last. Once a token launch occurs, all subsequent deadline markets automatically resolve YES.Follow the signals, not the noise
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