TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wild vs. Red Wings
Volume:
$2,713,302
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 5 at 1:00 PM ET, the Minnesota Wild face the Detroit Red Wings in an NHL matchup. Markets cover three dimensions: head-to-head winner, and total goals scored (Over/Under at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 thresholds). All resolutions incorporate overtime and shootout scoring, with shootout victories adding one goal to the winning team's final tally.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi settles on moneyline outcome (either team wins), while Polymarket offers multiple distinct markets: moneyline, over/under totals at various thresholds, and spread betting. The platforms do not directly contradict each other but operate on different market types within the same game.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's single binary market ('either MIN or DET wins') is orthogonal to Polymarket's suite of derivative markets (totals and spreads). If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting only on moneyline. On Polymarket, you can hedge or speculate on game structure (scoring pace, margin). Outcomes on one platform do not directly determine outcomes on the other—a Kalshi YES (either team wins) is compatible with any Polymarket total or spread result.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single moneyline market that resolves YES if either the Wild or Red Wings wins the April 5, 2026 game. The market is binary: 'If MIN Wild wins the Minnesota at Detroit professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If DET Red Wings wins the Minnesota at Detroit professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This covers only the winner, not scoring totals or margins.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six separate markets on the same April 5 game: (1) moneyline (Wild vs. Red Wings), (2–6) five over/under totals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5 combined goals), and two spread markets (Wild -1.5, -2.5, -3.5 and Red Wings -1.5). Each market resolves independently based on final score, overtime, and shootout rules. For example, 'This market will resolve to Over if the Wild and Red Wings combine to score 6 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to Under.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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