TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wild vs. Predators
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 11 at 5:00PM ET: If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the Predators win, the market will resolve to "Predators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, detailed resolution rules for multiple market types (moneyline, over/under totals at various thresholds, spreads) with explicit handling of postponements, cancellations, and shootout scoring. Kalshi provides only a single binary market with incomplete resolution logic that fails to specify outcome determination for the core event and lacks any contingency rules for postponement or cancellation.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you face critical ambiguity: the market states 'resolves to Yes' for both possible outcomes (either team winning), which is logically impossible and unresolvable. Polymarket offers clear, granular markets with explicit edge-case handling. Do not trade Kalshi's market until its resolution logic is clarified by the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Provides six distinct market types (moneyline, four over/under totals at 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and two spreads) with explicit resolution criteria for each, including postponement rules ('market will remain open until the game has been completed'), cancellation rules ('resolve 50-50'), and shootout scoring ('one goal will be added to the winning team's score'). Example: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Wild and Predators combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Provides a single binary market with fundamentally broken logic that states 'If NSH Predators wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If MIN Wild wins...then the market resolves to Yes', making both possible outcomes resolve identically to Yes, which is logically contradictory and unresolvable. No contingency rules for postponement, cancellation, or overtime/shootout handling are specified.
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