TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Wigan Athletic FC vs. AFC Wimbledon
Volume:
$14,656
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional EFL League One soccer match between Wigan Athletic FC and AFC Wimbledon scheduled for April 25, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Wigan win, an AFC Wimbledon win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three possible match outcomes (Wigan win, Wimbledon win, Tie) are listed as separate YES resolution conditions, making it impossible for any outcome to resolve NO. This creates a fundamental logical contradiction that violates basic market design principles.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is unresolvable as written. On Polymarket, the three binary markets (Wigan win, Draw, Wimbledon win) are mutually exclusive and exactly one will resolve YES—this is the correct structure. Stick to Polymarket for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each with mutually exclusive YES/NO outcomes. Market 1: Wigan wins = YES, else NO. Market 2: Draw = YES, else NO. Market 3: Wimbledon wins = YES, else NO. Exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source: official EFL statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match end. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Single market with three listed YES conditions: 'If Tie wins...resolve Yes', 'If Wigan wins...resolve Yes', 'If Wimbledon wins...resolve Yes'. No NO condition is defined. This means all possible match outcomes trigger YES resolution, leaving no logical path to NO. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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