This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) matchup between Wichita State Shockers and Memphis Tigers scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory: both a Memphis win and a Wichita State win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket defines a proper binary outcome. These are not equivalent markets.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded. The platform likely has a template error in its resolution criteria. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable version. Request clarification from Kalshi before engaging.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome market: Wichita State win resolves to 'Wichita State Shockers', Memphis win resolves to 'Memphis Tigers'. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Kalshi: Defective logic: 'If Memphis wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Wichita St. wins...resolves to Yes'. Both possible outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. No cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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