TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Where will Kyler Murray play in 2026-27?
polymarket
kalshi

Where will Kyler Murray play in 2026-27?

Volume:
$931,673

Minnesota

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Minnesota

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$252,208
N/A
N/A
$126,773
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Minnesota Vikings

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,654
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York J

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170,741
N/A
N/A
$120,244
Settled
No
polymarket

New York Jets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100,366
N/A
N/A
$64,974
Settled
No
polymarket

Pittsburgh Steelers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,626
N/A
N/A
$57,109
Settled
No
polymarket

Indianapolis Colts

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles R

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,628
N/A
N/A
$56,200
Settled
No
polymarket

Los Angeles Rams

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,792
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,371
N/A
N/A
$37,513
Settled
No
polymarket

Las Vegas Raiders

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,676
N/A
N/A
$39,515
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlanta Falcons

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,598
N/A
N/A
$32,351
Settled
No
polymarket

Miami Dolphins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Stays with Arizona or Retires from Pro Football

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,697
N/A
N/A
$27,448
Settled
No
polymarket

Arizona Cardinals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,296
N/A
N/A
$30,704
Settled
No
polymarket

Cleveland Browns

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,652
N/A
N/A
$12,587
Settled
No
polymarket

Houston Texans

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,454
N/A
N/A
$6,454
Settled
No
polymarket

Carolina Panthers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Green Bay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,055
N/A
N/A
$6,055
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 65

Description

This event group determines where NFL quarterback Kyler Murray will play during the 2026-27 season. Markets span 34 team-specific binary questions on Polymarket plus 32 Kalshi markets covering all NFL teams and edge cases (retirement, staying with Arizona). Resolution hinges on official team signing/trade announcements by early September 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Timing divergence (August 31 vs September 1, 2026) and semantic divergence in retirement/default handling. Polymarket defaults to Arizona Cardinals and treats retirement as Other; Kalshi bundles retirement with Arizona retention into a single outcome.Hero tip: Monitor official NFL announcements closely between August 31 and September 1, 2026. If Murray signs a new team, both platforms should resolve consistently to that team. If no move occurs by August 31 ET, Polymarket resolves to Arizona Cardinals while Kalshi's Arizona/Retirement outcome resolves Yes. If Murray retires before August 31, Polymarket resolves to Other while Kalshi resolves to Yes. Traders should hedge across platforms or clarify retirement treatment with each platform before the cutoff.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Uses August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET cutoff. Defaults to Arizona Cardinals if no new team signed. Treats retirement or unsigned status as Other. Resolves individual team markets based on official NFL/team announcements or credible media consensus.
  • Kalshi: Uses September 1, 2026 cutoff (1 day later). Bundles Arizona Cardinals retention and retirement into a single Yes outcome (market 24). Covers all 32 NFL teams with individual Yes/No markets. Does not explicitly distinguish retirement from Arizona retention.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.