TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
Volume:
$234,326
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group determines which show will rank #1 on Netflix's US Top 10 TV shows list as published on April 14, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the same underlying resolution source: Netflix's official top10.netflix.com update reflecting viewership data from the prior week (April 7-13, 2026).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket includes a contingency outcome ("Other") and a 3-day grace period for the Netflix update, while Kalshi uses a fixed enumerated list with a hard April 14 deadline and no fallback mechanism.Hero Tip:
Polymarket offers structural protection against delayed Netflix updates via the "Other" outcome and April 17 grace period. Kalshi traders should verify that the #1 show on April 14 matches one of the 14 enumerated options; if not, settlement may be contested. Both platforms depend on Netflix's official top10.netflix.com publication, but Polymarket's flexibility makes it more resilient to timing delays.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Resolves based on Netflix top10.netflix.com update on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET. If update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, market resolves to "Other". Includes 21 binary questions covering named shows plus a catch-all "Other" outcome for any show not explicitly listed.
- Kalshi: Resolves based on Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on April 14, 2026. Provides 14 specific show outcomes (XO Kitty Season 3, The Predator of Seville, Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen Season 1, Raw 2026, Detective Hole Season 1, Beauty in Black Season 2, Love on the Spectrum Season 4, Homicide New York Season 2, Ms. Rachel Season 1, Virgin River Season 7, Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov, Temptation Island Season 2, Trust Me The False Prophet, Big Mistakes). No fallback or "Other" outcome specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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