TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
Volume:
$209,018
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group determines which show will rank #1 on Netflix's US Top 10 TV shows list based on the official update published on March 3, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on specific show titles to claim the top position, with resolution tied to Netflix's official viewership rankings.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi differ in outcome scope and contingency handling. Polymarket includes placeholder outcomes and an explicit fallback to 'Other' if Netflix fails to publish by the deadline. Kalshi lists only 10 specific shows with no defined fallback mechanism.Hero Tip:
Cross-reference the actual #1 Netflix show on March 3, 2026 against both platforms' specific show lists. If the winner is not among Kalshi's 10 named shows, all Kalshi markets resolve No while Polymarket may resolve to 'Other' or a placeholder. Monitor for Netflix publication delays; Polymarket has a 3-day grace period (through March 6, 11:59 PM ET) while Kalshi does not explicitly address delays.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Includes 19 outcomes: 11 named shows (The Night Agent: Season 3, The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4, Jeffrey Epstein: Filthy Rich, Reality Check, Bridgerton: Season 4, Love is Blind: Ohio) plus 8 generic placeholders (Show A through Show K) and one catch-all (another show). Explicit fallback: resolves to 'Other' if Netflix update does not occur by March 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Key Quote: 'If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by March 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to Other'.
- Kalshi: Includes 10 outcomes: all named shows (The Night Agent: Season 3, The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4, Raw: 2026, The Hunting Party: Season 1, Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model: Season 1, Bridgerton: Season 4, Love Is Blind: Ohio, Sommore: Chandelier Fly, Famous Last Words: Eric Dane, Katt Williams: The Last Report). No generic placeholders or explicit fallback defined. Resolution tied to chart published March 3, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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