TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
polymarket
kalshi

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Volume:
$413,462

Unchosen: Season 1

 - Kalshi

Unchosen: Season 1 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 29, 2026

Closed: Apr 28, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Unchosen: Season 1

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,162
N/A
N/A
$15,148
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BEEF: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94,635
N/A
N/A
$41,373
Settled
No
polymarket

BEEF: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Running Point: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,074
N/A
N/A
$52,940
Settled
No
polymarket

Running Point: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Trust Me: The False Prophet: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62,887
N/A
N/A
$60,785
Settled
No
polymarket

Trust Me: The False Prophet

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Raw: 2026 - April 13, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,501
N/A
N/A
$17,501
Settled
No
polymarket

Flunked

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,087
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Big Mistakes: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,424
N/A
N/A
$4,424
Settled
No
kalshi

This is a Gardening Show: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,212
N/A
N/A
$8,212
Settled
No
kalshi

Million Dollar Secret: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,396
N/A
N/A
$5,243
Settled
No
kalshi

American Godfathers: The Five Families: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,685
N/A
N/A
$4,685
Settled
No
kalshi

Funny AF: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,393
N/A
N/A
$3,840
Settled
No
polymarket

Funny AF with Kevin Hart

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stranger Things: Tales From '85

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,569
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Temptation Island: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,807
N/A
N/A
$2,807
Settled
No
polymarket

Hulk Hogan: Real American

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Raw: 2026 - April 20, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,623
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Salish & Jordan Matter: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,295
N/A
N/A
$1,295
Settled
No
polymarket

Big Mistakes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Trevor Noah: Joy in The Trenches

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,159
N/A
N/A
$1,159
Settled
No
kalshi

Danny Go!: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,115
N/A
N/A
$1,115
Settled
No
polymarket

Show A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 35

Description

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Show title nomenclature divergence and WWE Raw episode date mismatch between platforms. Polymarket includes a catch-all "another show" option absent from Kalshi, and the two platforms reference different WWE Raw episodes (April 20 vs April 13, 2026).Hero tip: Before trading, confirm with both platforms whether "Funny AF with Kevin Hart" (Polymarket) and "Funny AF: Season 1" (Kalshi) resolve identically, and which WWE Raw episode (April 13 or April 20, 2026) will be used if Raw ranks #1. The Polymarket catch-all creates a hedge opportunity: if you believe the #1 show is not explicitly listed on either platform, Polymarket's "another show" option may offer value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: 22 binary questions covering named shows plus a generic "another show" catch-all. References "Raw: 2026 - April 20, 2026" as a specific option. Resolution based on Netflix's top10.netflix.com update on April 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET. Fallback to "Other" if update does not occur by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Key quote: 'If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".'
  • Kalshi: 13 binary questions covering named shows with season/episode qualifiers (e.g., "Trust Me: The False Prophet: Season 1", "Funny AF: Season 1"). References "Raw: 2026 - April 13, 2026" as a specific option. Resolution based on Netflix's Top 10 US Show chart published April 28, 2026. No explicit fallback or deadline language. Key quote: 'If [Show Title] is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Apr 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.