TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Katt Williams: The Last Report - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Feb 18, 2026
Top US Netflix Show on Feb 16, 2026?
Amount
$
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 25 of 31
Description
This event group determines which show ranks #1 on Netflix's US Top 10 TV shows list as of the chart published on February 17, 2026. Both platforms are betting on the same underlying resolution source: Netflix's official Top 10 rankings updated on that specific date, reflecting viewership data from the prior week.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use the same official resolution source (Netflix Top 10 rankings published February 17, 2026) and the same measurement (total US viewership for the prior week), with identical timing and scope.Primary resolution logic: Netflix official Top 10 TV shows list (top10.netflix.com) updated on Tuesday, February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ETCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by which show ranks as #1 on Netflix's Top 10 US TV shows chart on the update published February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
- The ranking reflects total views in the United States for the prior week (Monday to Sunday)
- On Kalshi, exactly one of the 13 binary outcomes resolves to Yes (the show that is #1); all others resolve to No
- On Polymarket, exactly one show-specific market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No; an 'Other' market exists as a catch-all
- If Netflix does not publish the update by February 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'
Edge cases & clarifications:
- No update by deadline: If Netflix does not publish the Top 10 chart by February 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi's contingency is not explicitly stated; assume no resolution or cancellation.
- Tie for #1: Netflix's official ranking will show a single #1 show; if Netflix displays a tie, use Netflix's internal ordering or the show listed first on their chart.
- Show not in Kalshi list: If a show not listed in Kalshi's 13 outcomes is #1, all Kalshi markets resolve to No. Polymarket's 'Other' market would resolve to Yes.
- Polymarket placeholder shows: Polymarket includes generic placeholders ('Show A', 'Show B', etc.) alongside named shows. These are likely placeholders for unknown contenders; resolution depends on Netflix's actual #1 ranking.