TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
Volume:
$631,964
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group determines which show ranks #1 on Netflix's US Top 10 TV shows list as of the chart published on February 17, 2026. Both platforms are betting on the same underlying resolution source: Netflix's official Top 10 rankings updated on that specific date, reflecting viewership data from the prior week.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use the same official resolution source (Netflix Top 10 rankings published February 17, 2026) and the same measurement (total US viewership for the prior week), with identical timing and scope.
Primary resolution logic:
Netflix official Top 10 TV shows list (top10.netflix.com) updated on Tuesday, February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ETCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by which show ranks as #1 on Netflix's Top 10 US TV shows chart on the update published February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
- The ranking reflects total views in the United States for the prior week (Monday to Sunday)
- On Kalshi, exactly one of the 13 binary outcomes resolves to Yes (the show that is #1); all others resolve to No
- On Polymarket, exactly one show-specific market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No; an 'Other' market exists as a catch-all
- If Netflix does not publish the update by February 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- No update by deadline: If Netflix does not publish the Top 10 chart by February 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi's contingency is not explicitly stated; assume no resolution or cancellation.
- Tie for #1: Netflix's official ranking will show a single #1 show; if Netflix displays a tie, use Netflix's internal ordering or the show listed first on their chart.
- Show not in Kalshi list: If a show not listed in Kalshi's 13 outcomes is #1, all Kalshi markets resolve to No. Polymarket's 'Other' market would resolve to Yes.
- Polymarket placeholder shows: Polymarket includes generic placeholders ('Show A', 'Show B', etc.) alongside named shows. These are likely placeholders for unknown contenders; resolution depends on Netflix's actual #1 ranking.
Timing:
Resolution occurs on or shortly after February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET when Netflix publishes the Top 10 chart. Final settlement deadline is February 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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