TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip
- Polymarket
Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Feb 18, 2026
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Amount
$
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 25 of 31
Description
This event group predicts which movie will rank #1 on Netflix's US Top 10 Movies chart for the week ending February 17, 2026. Both platforms resolve based on Netflix's official top10.netflix.com update published on Tuesday, February 17, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET, measuring total US viewership.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical resolution logic: the #1 ranked movie on Netflix's official Top 10 US Movies chart published February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET determines the winner, with no material divergence in criteria or source.Primary resolution logic: Netflix official top10.netflix.com Top 10 Movies ranking published Tuesday, February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the prior week (Monday to Sunday)Core resolution logic:
- Resolution date is fixed: Tuesday, February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
- Resolution source is Netflix's official top10.netflix.com Top 10 Movies list
- Ranking metric is total US viewership as reported by Netflix for movies
- The movie ranked in position #1 on that list resolves all matching markets to Yes
- All other movies resolve to No
- Kalshi offers 12 named movie outcomes; Polymarket offers 12 named movies plus an Other option
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Update Delay or Failure: Polymarket explicitly resolves to Other if top10.netflix.com does not update by February 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Kalshi does not specify a fallback; if the update fails, Kalshi markets would likely remain unresolved pending clarification.
- Movie Not Listed: If the #1 movie is not among the 12 named options on either platform, Polymarket resolves to Other; Kalshi has no explicit Other option and would require manual adjudication.
- Tie or Ambiguous Ranking: Netflix does not publish ties in its Top 10 list; the platform assigns a single #1 position. No tie resolution logic is needed.
- Polymarket Movie Aliases: Polymarket uses placeholder names (Movie A through Movie K) for some outcomes, while Kalshi names all 12 movies explicitly. Mapping between platforms requires external confirmation of which Movie letter corresponds to which title.