TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
Volume:
$127,567
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group determines which Netflix show will rank #1 globally in the week ending March 30, 2026, based on Netflix's official Top 10 TV shows list published on March 31, 2026. Both platforms resolve to the same official Netflix data source, with Polymarket offering a catch-all 'Other' option and Kalshi listing specific named shows.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms reference the identical official Netflix Top 10 TV shows list published March 31, 2026, with the same ranking metric (total global views) and identical resolution date, ensuring unified settlement.
Primary resolution logic:
Netflix official Top 10 TV shows global ranking published at top10.netflix.com on March 31, 2026, 3:00 PM ETCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by which show Netflix ranks as #1 in its global Top 10 TV shows list on the chart published March 31, 2026
- Ranking is based on total views globally for English-language TV shows only, as reported by Netflix
- Exactly one show will resolve to Yes; all others resolve to No
- If Netflix does not publish the update by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other' and all Kalshi-listed shows resolve to No
- Polymarket's 'Another show' option captures any #1 show not explicitly named in either platform's market list
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Netflix publication delay: If Netflix does not publish the Top 10 update by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other' and all Kalshi individual show markets resolve to No
- Show not listed on either platform: If a show not named on Polymarket or Kalshi becomes #1, Polymarket resolves to 'Another show' (Yes) and all Kalshi markets resolve to No
- Tie or ambiguous ranking: Netflix's official ranking determines the single #1 show; if Netflix reports a tie, Netflix's own tiebreaker methodology applies
- Show name variation: Resolution uses exact show titles as listed on each platform; minor spelling or formatting differences between platforms do not create divergence if they reference the same Netflix show
Timing:
Resolution occurs on March 31, 2026, 3:00 PM ET when Netflix publishes its Top 10 TV shows list. If not published by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve to default outcomes (Polymarket: 'Other'; Kalshi: No for all named shows).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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