TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
ONE PIECE: Season 2
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Apr 1, 2026
Closed: Mar 30, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 25 of 38
Description
This event group determines which Netflix show will rank #1 globally in the week ending March 30, 2026, based on Netflix's official Top 10 TV shows list published on March 31, 2026. Both platforms resolve to the same official Netflix data source, with Polymarket offering a catch-all 'Other' option and Kalshi listing specific named shows.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms reference the identical official Netflix Top 10 TV shows list published March 31, 2026, with the same ranking metric (total global views) and identical resolution date, ensuring unified settlement.Primary resolution logic: Netflix official Top 10 TV shows global ranking published at top10.netflix.com on March 31, 2026, 3:00 PM ETCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is determined by which show Netflix ranks as #1 in its global Top 10 TV shows list on the chart published March 31, 2026
- Ranking is based on total views globally for English-language TV shows only, as reported by Netflix
- Exactly one show will resolve to Yes; all others resolve to No
- If Netflix does not publish the update by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other' and all Kalshi-listed shows resolve to No
- Polymarket's 'Another show' option captures any #1 show not explicitly named in either platform's market list
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Netflix publication delay: If Netflix does not publish the Top 10 update by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other' and all Kalshi individual show markets resolve to No
- Show not listed on either platform: If a show not named on Polymarket or Kalshi becomes #1, Polymarket resolves to 'Another show' (Yes) and all Kalshi markets resolve to No
- Tie or ambiguous ranking: Netflix's official ranking determines the single #1 show; if Netflix reports a tie, Netflix's own tiebreaker methodology applies
- Show name variation: Resolution uses exact show titles as listed on each platform; minor spelling or formatting differences between platforms do not create divergence if they reference the same Netflix show