TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Description
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on scope and movie coverage. Kalshi specifies 13 named movies with explicit resolution criteria, while Polymarket includes these same movies plus placeholder entries (Movie A through Movie K) and an 'other' category, creating ambiguity about which movies are actually tracked.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, be aware that markets referencing 'Movie A', 'Movie B', etc. lack clear movie identities and may resolve ambiguously. Kalshi's explicit movie list is more transparent. Cross-check Polymarket's placeholder movies against the actual Netflix Top 10 release on April 14, 2026, to avoid betting on undefined outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi provides 13 explicitly named movies (Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom, 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple, Black and Blue, KPop Demon Hunters, The Bad Guys 2, Madagascar, Clika, Anaconda, The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson, Minions: The Rise of Gru, Thrash, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, Striking Distance) with binary YES/NO resolution for each if that movie ranks #1 on Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published April 14, 2026. Each market resolves YES for exactly one movie or NO for all if none of these 13 rank #1.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket lists 22 questions including the same named movies as Kalshi but also includes undefined placeholder entries (Movie A, Movie B, Movie C, Movie D, Movie E, Movie F, Movie G, Movie H, Movie I, Movie J, Movie K) and an 'other' category ('Will another movie be the top global Netflix movie this week?'), creating ambiguity about which actual films these placeholders represent. Resolution is based on Netflix's top10.netflix.com update on April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, with fallback to 'Other' if update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
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