TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Anaconda
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Apr 8, 2026
Closed: Apr 7, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 25 of 40
Description
This event group determines which movie will rank #1 on Netflix's global Top 10 movies list for the week ending April 7, 2026. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the same underlying resolution source: Netflix's official global movie rankings published on April 7, 2026, based on total views from the prior week.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket use the same official Netflix Global Top 10 Movies ranking published on April 7, 2026, as the sole resolution source, with identical movie candidates and a single #1 outcome.Primary resolution logic: Netflix official Global Top 10 Movies ranking at top10.netflix.com, published Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the prior calendar week (Monday to Sunday)Core resolution logic:
- Netflix publishes its Global Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on April 7, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET
- The ranking is based on total global views in the English-language movies category for the prior week
- Exactly one movie will occupy the #1 position
- All Kalshi markets resolve Yes if their specified movie is #1; all others resolve No
- All Polymarket markets resolve Yes if their specified movie is #1; all others resolve No
- If no movie is #1 or the update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to Other; Kalshi has no explicit contingency
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Netflix update delay or non-publication: Polymarket explicitly resolves to Other if the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Kalshi does not specify a fallback; in practice, this would likely trigger a platform dispute or cancellation.
- Tie for #1 position: Netflix's ranking system produces a single #1 movie; ties are not expected. If Netflix lists two movies as co-#1, the resolution would depend on Netflix's own tie-breaking methodology or explicit clarification from the platforms.
- Movie not on the list: If a specified movie does not appear in the Top 10 at all, it cannot be #1, and that market resolves No.
- Polymarket Movie A–O placeholder ambiguity: Polymarket includes generic placeholders (Movie A, B, C, etc.) alongside named titles. These are treated as distinct outcomes; if a placeholder movie is #1, only that specific placeholder market resolves Yes.