TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Volume:
$52,058
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group determines which movie will rank #1 on Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies list for the week ending March 9, 2026, based on the official update published on March 10, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer binary markets on individual movie titles, with resolution tied to Netflix's official global viewership rankings.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution criteria: the movie ranked #1 on Netflix's official Global Top 10 Movies list published on March 10, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET, based on global viewership data from the prior week (March 3-9, 2026).
Primary resolution logic:
Netflix official Global Top 10 Movies ranking published on top10.netflix.com on March 10, 2026, 3:00 PM ETCore resolution logic:
- Resolution date is fixed: March 10, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
- Ranking metric is total global views for English-language movies only, as reported by Netflix
- Exactly one movie will rank #1; that movie's market resolves YES, all others resolve NO
- The ranking reflects viewership from Monday, March 3, 2026, through Sunday, March 9, 2026
- Resolution is binary per movie: either that movie is #1 (YES) or it is not (NO)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Netflix update delay or failure: If Netflix does not publish the official ranking by March 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to "Other". Kalshi markets would resolve based on the next available official Netflix ranking or be voided per platform policy.
- Tie for #1 position: Netflix's official ranking does not produce ties; a single movie will be listed as #1. If Netflix reports a tie, resolution follows Netflix's official designation or the higher-ranked entry in their published list.
- Movie not on Netflix during resolution week: If a market's movie is not available on Netflix during the March 3-9 week, it cannot rank #1 and that market resolves NO.
- Non-English language movies: Resolution is based on the Global Top 10 Movies (English only) list. Non-English movies are excluded from consideration.
Timing:
Resolution occurs on March 10, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET when Netflix publishes its official Global Top 10 Movies ranking. If not published by March 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, markets resolve to alternative outcomes per platform rules.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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