TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Entertainment
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
polymarket
kalshi

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Volume:
$507,125

Danny Go!: Season 1

 - Polymarket

Danny Go!: Season 1 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 14, 2026

Closed: Apr 13, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Danny Go!: Season 1

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

XO, Kitty: Season 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96,432
N/A
N/A
$94,511
Settled
No
polymarket

XO, Kitty: Season 3

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Big Mistakes

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94,609
N/A
N/A
$86,421
Settled
No
kalshi

Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,308
N/A
N/A
$87,308
Settled
No
polymarket

Something Very Bad is Going to Happen: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,938
N/A
N/A
$59,839
Settled
No
kalshi

Love on the Spectrum: Season 4

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,091
N/A
N/A
$31,715
Settled
No
polymarket

Love on the Spectrum: Season 4

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Predator of Seville: Limited Series

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,876
N/A
N/A
$27,876
Settled
No
kalshi

Temptation Island: Season 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,659
N/A
N/A
$21,604
Settled
No
kalshi

Beauty in Black: Season 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,526
N/A
N/A
$21,526
Settled
No
kalshi

Raw: 2026 - March 30, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,293
N/A
N/A
$11,293
Settled
No
kalshi

Detective Hole: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,928
N/A
N/A
$10,928
Settled
No
kalshi

Ms. Rachel: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,340
N/A
N/A
$10,340
Settled
No
kalshi

Homicide: New York: Season 2

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,297
N/A
N/A
$10,297
Settled
No
kalshi

Virgin River: Season 7

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,599
N/A
N/A
$9,599
Settled
No
polymarket

Temptation Island: Season 10

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$932
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Big Mistakes: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bandi: Season 1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Trust Me: The False Prophet

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show F

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show H

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show D

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show E

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Description

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on the set of eligible shows. Polymarket includes placeholder shows (Show A through Show K) and an 'Other' catch-all category, while Kalshi specifies a fixed list of named shows with no catch-all, creating different outcome spaces and resolution scopes.Hero tip: If you bet on Polymarket's 'Other' or any placeholder show (Show A-K), your outcome may not resolve YES on Kalshi because those shows are not listed as eligible outcomes on Kalshi. Conversely, if the #2 show is one of Kalshi's named shows (e.g., Detective Hole, Ms. Rachel, Virgin River, Beauty in Black, Homicide: New York, The Predator of Seville, Raw, Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov), it will resolve YES on Kalshi but may resolve to 'Other' on Polymarket if that show is not explicitly named. Align your position with the platform you are trading on.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves based on which of 20 named shows or an 'Other' category becomes #2 on Netflix's official Top 10 list published April 14, 2026. The named shows include Some Very Bad is Going to Happen, Bandi, Danny Go!, Trust Me, Big Mistakes, Temptation Island, XO Kitty, Love on the Spectrum, and placeholder shows (Show A-K). If none of these resolve YES, the 'Other' market resolves YES. Key quote: 'This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States' and 'If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to Other'.
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves based on a fixed list of 13 named shows (Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen, Love on the Spectrum, Detective Hole, Ms. Rachel, Virgin River, Homicide: New York, Beauty in Black, XO Kitty, The Predator of Seville, Raw, Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov, Big Mistakes, Temptation Island). Each market resolves YES if that specific show is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published April 14, 2026. There is no catch-all 'Other' category. Key quote: 'If [named show] is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Show on the chart published on Apr 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.