TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Volume:
$54,236
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group asks which show will rank #2 on Netflix's US Top 10 TV shows list based on the official update published on Tuesday, March 24, 2026, at 3:00 PM ET. The ranking reflects total viewership data from the prior week (Monday–Sunday) as reported by Netflix. Both platforms resolve identically to this single, objective data point from Netflix's official top10.netflix.com publication.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi resolve on the same underlying event (Netflix Top 10 US show ranking published March 24, 2026) but differ significantly in scope and show coverage. Polymarket lists 20 outcome options including placeholder shows (Show A through Show K) and an 'Other' catch-all, while Kalshi specifies 11 concrete show titles with no catch-all option, creating misalignment in which shows are explicitly priced.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, your YES outcome depends on one of the 19 named shows or 'Other' resolving to #2. If you trade on Kalshi, your YES outcome depends on one of 11 specific shows resolving to #2. If the actual #2 show is named on Kalshi but not on Polymarket (or vice versa), or if an unnamed show ranks #2, the platforms may resolve differently. Cross-check the actual Netflix ranking against both platforms' show lists before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 20 binary outcomes covering 19 named shows (Virgin River: Season 7, Unicorn Academy: Secrets Revealed, STEEL BALL RUN JoJo's Bizarre Adventure, Mark Normand: None Too Pleased, One Piece: Season 2, Age of Attraction, The Dinosaurs, and 12 placeholder shows A-K) plus an 'Other' catch-all. Resolution source is 'the top10.netflix.com update on Tuesday, March 24, 2026, 3:00 PM ET' with a fallback to 'Other' if the update does not occur by March 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Exactly one market in the group will resolve YES.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 11 binary outcomes covering 11 specific named shows (The TikTok Killer: Limited Series, The Dinosaurs: Season 1, Derrick Stroup: Nostalgic, Love Is Blind: The Reunion, ONE PIECE: Season 2, Raw: 2026 - March 9 2026, A Friend a Murderer: Limited Series, Age of Attraction: Season 1, Virgin River: Season 7, Bridgerton: Season 4, BTS THE COMEBACK LIVE | ARIRANG) with no catch-all or 'Other' option. Resolution source is 'the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on Mar 24, 2026.' No fallback rule is specified if the chart is unavailable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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