TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle
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2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
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Positive
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Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Apr 14, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Apr 14, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi lists 13 specific movies as potential #2 outcomes with binary Yes/No resolution per movie, while Polymarket structures the same event as 22 separate binary questions covering overlapping and non-overlapping movie titles, plus an 'other' catch-all. Both platforms resolve on the same Netflix Top 10 chart published April 14, 2026, but differ in market structure and scope coverage.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on one of 13 named movies; if one of those 13 is #2, exactly one Kalshi market resolves YES. On Polymarket, you have 22 individual binary questions; if a movie not listed on Polymarket (but listed on Kalshi) is #2, Polymarket's 'another movie' catch-all resolves YES instead. Ensure your position aligns with which platform's market structure you are using.Critical divergence points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 13 binary markets, one per named movie (e.g., 'If The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson is #2... then the market resolves to Yes'). Each market resolves YES if that specific movie ranks #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published April 14, 2026, and NO otherwise. No catch-all for unlisted movies.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 22 binary questions covering 20 named movies plus a catch-all ('Will another movie be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?'). Each question resolves YES if that movie is #2, or NO if it is not. The catch-all resolves YES if the #2 movie is not among the 20 named options. If the Netflix update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve to 'Other'.