TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Volume:
$27,040
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group determines which TV show will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 shows list for the week ending April 14, 2026. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are predicting the same outcome based on Netflix's official weekly rankings published on April 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership data from the prior week.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a closed enumerated list of 10 shows with no explicit fallback, while Polymarket uses an open list with an explicit 'Other' category and placeholder shows. This creates different outcome spaces and resolution paths for the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's explicit 'Other' option provides clarity if an unlisted show ranks #2. Kalshi's structure is ambiguous in this scenario. Before trading Kalshi, confirm whether an unlisted #2 show resolves to NO or triggers cancellation. On Polymarket, the 'Other' option is your hedge against surprise shows.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Closed enumerated list: 10 specific shows (Ms. Rachel, Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen, The Predator of Seville, Raw, Beauty in Black, XO Kitty, Love on the Spectrum, Detective Hole, Homicide: New York, Virgin River). Each market resolves YES if that show ranks #2 on April 14, 2026 chart. No explicit 'Other' or fallback outcome defined.
- Polymarket: Open enumerated list with catch-all: 11 named shows (Danny Go, Love on the Spectrum, Temptation Island, Bandi, Big Mistakes, XO Kitty, Bloodhounds, Trust Me, Something Very Bad is Going to Happen) plus 10 placeholder shows (Show A-K) plus explicit 'Other' market. Resolves YES for named show or to 'Other' if #2 is unlisted. Fallback: if top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026 11:59 PM ET, resolves to 'Other'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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