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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Volume:
$27,040

XO, Kitty: Season 3

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 15, 2026

Closed: Apr 14, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

XO, Kitty: Season 3

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,545
N/A
N/A
$3,743
Settled
Yes
polymarket

XO, Kitty: Season 3

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Trust Me: The False Prophet

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,863
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Detective Hole: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,745
N/A
N/A
$2,745
Settled
No
polymarket

Temptation Island: Season 10

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,154
N/A
N/A
$1,154
Settled
No
polymarket

Something Very Bad is Going to Happen: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bloodhounds: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Danny Go!: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bandi: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$972
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Big Mistakes: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Love on the Spectrum: Season 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Love on the Spectrum: Season 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Homicide: New York: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$247
N/A
N/A
$247
Settled
No
kalshi

The Predator of Seville: Limited Series

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Raw: 2026 - March 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Ms. Rachel: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Virgin River: Season 7

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Beauty in Black: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
polymarket

Show A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show I

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This event group determines which TV show will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 shows list for the week ending April 14, 2026. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are predicting the same outcome based on Netflix's official weekly rankings published on April 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership data from the prior week.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a closed enumerated list of 10 shows with no explicit fallback, while Polymarket uses an open list with an explicit 'Other' category and placeholder shows. This creates different outcome spaces and resolution paths for the same underlying event.Hero tip: Polymarket's explicit 'Other' option provides clarity if an unlisted show ranks #2. Kalshi's structure is ambiguous in this scenario. Before trading Kalshi, confirm whether an unlisted #2 show resolves to NO or triggers cancellation. On Polymarket, the 'Other' option is your hedge against surprise shows.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Closed enumerated list: 10 specific shows (Ms. Rachel, Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen, The Predator of Seville, Raw, Beauty in Black, XO Kitty, Love on the Spectrum, Detective Hole, Homicide: New York, Virgin River). Each market resolves YES if that show ranks #2 on April 14, 2026 chart. No explicit 'Other' or fallback outcome defined.
  • Polymarket: Open enumerated list with catch-all: 11 named shows (Danny Go, Love on the Spectrum, Temptation Island, Bandi, Big Mistakes, XO Kitty, Bloodhounds, Trust Me, Something Very Bad is Going to Happen) plus 10 placeholder shows (Show A-K) plus explicit 'Other' market. Resolves YES for named show or to 'Other' if #2 is unlisted. Fallback: if top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026 11:59 PM ET, resolves to 'Other'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.