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406,065

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events

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2,692

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5

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What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Volume:
$22,764

The Dinosaurs

 - Polymarket

The Dinosaurs - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 11, 2026

Closed: Mar 9, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

The Dinosaurs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

The Night Agent: Season 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Night Agent: Season 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
$309
Settled
No
polymarket

Vladimir

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,019
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bridgerton: Season 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bridgerton: Season 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,463
N/A
N/A
$1,313
Settled
No
polymarket

Gabby's Dollhouse: Season 13

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,842
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Harry Styles. One Night in Manchester.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$708
N/A
N/A
$686
Settled
No
kalshi

Taylor Tomlinson: Prodigal Daughter

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
$282
Settled
No
kalshi

Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
No
kalshi

Love Is Blind: Ohio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
No
kalshi

Ms. Rachel: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
$111
Settled
No
kalshi

Famous Last Words: Eric Dane

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
No
kalshi

The Hunting Party: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
kalshi

The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

Raw: 2026 - February 23, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
polymarket

Blue Therapy

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show I

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show K

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Show D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This event group predicts which show will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows list as published on March 10, 2026. Both platforms are betting on the same underlying fact: Netflix's official ranking for that specific date. The resolution depends entirely on Netflix's published data for total global views.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms measure the identical outcome: which show Netflix officially ranks as #2 globally on March 10, 2026, based on total views for TV shows in English only.Primary resolution logic: Netflix Top 10 Global TV Shows list (top10.netflix.com) published March 10, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution date is fixed: March 10, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
  • Ranking metric: Total global views for TV shows (English language only)
  • The show ranked in position #2 on that specific Netflix update resolves all YES outcomes for that show
  • All other shows resolve NO
  • Kalshi offers 11 named show outcomes; Polymarket offers 14 named show outcomes plus 1 'Other' catch-all
  • If multiple markets name the same show, only that show's market resolves YES

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No update by deadline: Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'Other' if top10.netflix.com does not publish by March 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Kalshi does not state a fallback; assume cancellation or 'Other' equivalent.
  • Show not on Top 10 list: If a named show does not appear in the Top 10 at all, that outcome resolves NO. The 'Other' option on Polymarket would resolve YES only if the #2 show is not among the 14 named options.
  • Tie for #2 position: Netflix's official ranking is deterministic; ties are not expected. If Netflix lists two shows as tied for #2, both would resolve YES (unlikely but not ruled out by either platform).
  • Platform outcome mismatch: Kalshi lists 11 specific shows; Polymarket lists 14 specific shows plus 'Other'. If the #2 show is named on both platforms, both resolve YES for that show. If #2 is only on one platform's list, only that platform's market resolves YES.
Timing: Resolution occurs on March 10, 2026, 3:00 PM ET when Netflix publishes its Top 10 Global TV Shows list. Markets settle immediately upon confirmation of the #2 ranked show. Fallback deadline for Polymarket: March 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.