TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.2b

24H VOL:

$217,900,088

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,256,149,940

499,530

Markets across

13,705

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,785

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Volume:
$52,775
Outcome
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24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Description

This event group determines which show will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows list as published on February 17, 2026. Both platforms are betting on the same underlying resolution source: Netflix's official weekly ranking update, which reflects viewership data from the prior week (Monday-Sunday).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms reference the identical Netflix official ranking published February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, with no conflicting definitions of #2 position or data source.

Primary resolution logic:

Netflix official Top 10 Global TV Shows chart (top10.netflix.com), published February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the prior week (Monday-Sunday)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution date is fixed: February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
  • The show ranked in the #2 position on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows list determines the winner
  • Ranking is based on total global views for TV shows (English only), as reported by Netflix
  • Kalshi markets resolve Yes if the specified show is #2; all other Kalshi shows resolve No
  • Polymarket markets resolve Yes if the specified show is #2; one and only one Polymarket market will resolve Yes (or 'Other' if no update occurs)
  • If Netflix does not publish the update by February 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • No Netflix update by deadline: If top10.netflix.com does not publish the February 17, 2026 update by February 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Polymarket resolves to 'Other'. Kalshi markets would likely remain unresolved pending clarification from the exchange.
  • Tie for #2 position: Netflix's official ranking determines a single #2 show; ties are not expected in the published list. If Netflix lists multiple shows as #2, the show appearing first in the official ranking is the resolution target.
  • Show name variations or rebranding: Resolution uses the exact show title as it appears on Netflix's official Top 10 list on February 17, 2026. Minor variations (e.g., 'Season 4' vs 'S4') must match the official Netflix naming convention.
  • Polymarket 'Other' outcome: Polymarket includes a 'Will another show be the #2 global Netflix show this week?' market. This resolves Yes if the #2 show is not one of the 18 specifically named shows listed.

Timing:

Resolution occurs on or after February 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, when Netflix publishes the official Top 10 Global TV Shows chart. Final settlement deadline for Polymarket is February 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.